Nfl Draft Prop Bets
Which NFL Props provide the most value on draft night?
Despite Covid-19 taking most major sports away, the NFL Draft provides a glimmer of hope. Now less than a week away, most major sportsbooks revealed their NFL Draft Props. With that said, here are a few props worth targeting next week.
While this NFL Draft prop brings the worst juice, it also brings the highest likelihood for success. Clemson provides one surefire prospect and two potential late Day 1 selections, giving this bet. 12 hours ago The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tied for the seventh-best record in the 2020 NFL regular season at 11-5, but the Bucs will pick last, No. 32 overall, in the first round of the 2021 Draft on April 29 in Cleveland – assuming the draft is held there as that could change if the pandemic is still raging – thanks to winning Super Bowl 55 in an upset of the Kansas City.
Total Players from Auburn Drafted in Round 1
Auburn enters this 2020 NFL Draft with one surefire prospect in Derrick Brown. Brown absolutely dominated SEC competition with five sacks and ten QB Hits. While he turned in a poor NFL Combine performance, most consider Brown a top ten option in this draft.
Outside of Brown, two fringe Day 1 prospects leave Auburn in Noah Igbinoghene and Marlon Davidson. Brown’s partner on the defensive line, Davidson also racked up eight sacks and eight hits respectively in 2019. However, Davidson racked up these numbers against inferior competition, while struggling in SEC play.
Similarly, Igbinoghene played as Auburn’s ace cornerback, but he still leaves quite a bit of production to be desired. Igbinoghene started off his career at wide receiver for Auburn. Moving to corner in 2018, Igbinoghene has only played two full seasons at the position. While certain teams will like the traits, his 51-percent completion percentage in coverage likely pushes him to Day 2 come the NFL Draft.
While this wager requires laying some juice, Auburn looks like a team with one first-round pick in 2020. While Igbinoghene and Davidson provide upside for an NFL roster, they’re likely Day 2 selections.
Nfl Prop Bets Today
Total Players from Alabama Drafted in Round 1
Providing slightly better odds, bookmakers peg Alabama’s first-round pick total at 5.5. With a number of elite prospects every season, predicting Alabama’s first-round selections remains a challenge. However, keep in mind, a wager on the under here provides far more favorable odds.
Looking at the Crimson Tide rosters, a few surefire first-round picks appear. On offense, Jedrick Wills is widely considered a top-four tackle prospect in this class. Wills allowed pressure on only 4-percent of his snaps, a mark which surely contributes to a Round 1 selection.
As for skill position players, both Henry Ruggs and Jerry Jeudy find themselves atop most wide receiver rankings. Ruggs ran a 4.27 40-yard dash, with a 42-inch vertical at the NFL Combine. On the other side, Jeudy wowed NFL personnel with superb route-running and racking up over 1,100 receiving yards in two straight seasons. Between these two and CeeDee Lamb, three wide receivers likely come off the board in the first 15 picks.
Rounding out the potential first-rounders for Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa, Trevon Diggs, and Xavier McKinney look like the riskier prospects. Most consider Tagovailoa the second-best quarterback in this class, but medicals reportedly have pushed him down draft boards. Either way, Tagovailoa likely remains a first-rounder due to the position he plays alone.
On defense, McKinney brings elite versatility at the safety position. He lined up in the slot, in the box, and at deep safety for the Crimson Tide this season. However, playing the less important secondary position, McKinney is not a first-round lock. Finally, the last player worth mentioning in this bunch is Trevon Diggs. Diggs converted to corner during his time at Alabama but showed some troubling tendencies on tape. Good competition in particular, beat up on Diggs in coverage.
Despite having six potential first round picks, only four grade out as first round locks. Between Diggs and McKinney, it looks likely that one premier Alabama prospect will fall into the second round. With -160 odds, this remains one of the top bets on the board.
Total Players from Clemson Drafted in Round 1
Nfl Draft Prop Bets Bovada
While this NFL Draft prop brings the worst juice, it also brings the highest likelihood for success. Clemson provides one surefire prospect and two potential late Day 1 selections, giving this bet a number of ways to pay off.
First off, Isaiah Simmons is a first-round lock. After racking up 8 sacks, 16.5 tackles for loss, and 11 passes defended, Simmons ran a 4.39 40-yard dash at 238 pounds. With this production profile and size-adjusted athleticism, Simmons punched his ticket as a top ten pick.
Behind Simmons, AJ Terrell and Tee Higgins stand as potential late Day 1 selections. Sticking with defense, AJ Terrell posted an elite cornerback season, with just 23 receptions allowed in his coverage. However, Terrell faced weaker competition in the ACC and allowed 5 catches for 143 yards and a pair of scores against Ja’Marr Chase in the National Title game. Still, his entire body of work and athletic profile puts him in the first-round conversation.
Similarly, wide receiver Tee Higgins has disappointed through the draft process. After two-straight 900-yard and double-digit touchdown seasons, many viewed Higgins as a consensus first-rounder in January. However, Higgins recorded poor athletic testing at his pro-day, knocking him down draft boards slightly.
With both Terrell and Higgins projected to come off the board near the end of the first round, taking the over makes sense. Even if just one sneaks into Day 1, the Over pays off.